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Though
there seems to be better signs, they are more of
the nature of less damage reports and of not so
severe news as opposed to bullish reports or good
growth news. Many see these times are a test to
see how strong businesses are and well run enough
in order to survive a recession. However if you
are in certain sectors for example sub-prime mortgage
you would have little chance of making it through.
Though
British politics seem to be in turmoil amazingly
the UK Sterling Pound seems to be fairing strongly
against the major currencies for example the US
dollar. This is probably due to the fact that UK
owns valuable resources for example natural gas.
A strong currency is good for business showing strength
in the economy.
At
the Paris air show orders were low pointing towards
the idea that a economic recovery was a way off
yet. This sectors is large and has many suppliers.
The fight industry is directly related to crude
prices that seems to be still volatile and perhaps
on a upward slope.
There
seems to be a high price of UK pump prices to the
actual price of crude oil. This is due to high UK
taxs, the weakening of the Pound verses the Dollar
and the anticipation of a slowing of the bear market.
Business growth will increase so the price of oil
will rise as it is used so much in industry and
manufacturing.
UK
Government intervention to the easing of the recession
may trigger higher inflation for the future. It
is a delicate balance between fiscal stimulation
and not over heating the economy. Businesses want
stability so they can grow and plan with more confidence.
The
Bank of England has stated moving forwards it wants
more control on marco financial policy so some of
the responsibilities currently with the FSA may
move across. And leave the FSA to deal with more
of the micro regulation. Communications and alignment
of the two need to greatly improve to produce a
tighter control over the UK. Enabling the UK to
be a leader and center for world fiances.
There
has been some talk of the green shoots of recovery,
mainly by inexperienced economic commentators or
journalists just desperate to write a scoop. However
the truth is there are no real signs of true improvement.
This could last for a long time.
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